YouGov model predicts election voting outcome in Ayrshire

Data released this week from market research provider YouGov has predicted how every constituency in the country would vote.

Based on responses collected from 14,110 respondents between December 12 and January 4, the model predicts that the SNP would retain Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock, as well as Kilmarnock and Loudoun.

These results indicate that Allan Dorans and Alan Brown are on course to secure their seats.

However, the prediction does show a smaller margin of victory in both seats.

Allan Dorans gained the Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock seat in 2019 with 43.5% of the votes, ahead of the Scottish Conservatives.

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock MP Allan Dorans (Image: MP Allan Dorans)

The YouGov prediction sees an SNP hold with 33% of the vote, just ahead of Labour with 30%.

According to the YouGov survey, it is a similar story for Alan Brown in Kilmarnock and Loudoun.

It shows an SNP hold with 36% of the vote, ahead of Labour with 32%.

Kilmarnock and Loudoun MP Alan Brown (Image: MP Alan Brown)

In 2019, Alan Brown held the Kilmarnock and Loudoun seat once again with over 50% of the votes.

Across the whole of the UK, the prediction would see Keir Starmer enter Downing Street having secured a 120-seat majority, with Labour winning 385 Commons seats.

This would be a 183-seat increase for the party since the last election.